Monday, December 13, 2010

13th Dec 2010 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Long term (6 months)

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-- There is no sign of BEAR at all.

-- There will be a lot volatility in coming week with Helicopter Ben announcing interest rate. However, there is nothing much Ben can do. So the market can just keep on their BULL move easily.

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-- Long term SPY chart has shown that 20MA line has crossed up 50MA line which is a long term buy signal.

-- NASDAQ index is not showing any sign of stopping.

 

Next Week Economic Data:

 

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Input:

 

  1. A lot of data coming out the entire week.
  2. Interest rate announcement on Tuesday. FED cannot do anything other than stay the same rate figure. Maybe that is why market has no fear and Friday index still go up.
  3. Is Helicopter Bernanke going to announced QE3?    *that will be interesting*

 

VXX chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. RSI in daily chart might be indicating something. However, candlesticks look like it is still going down.
  2. MACD at the long term chart might indicating something also. Again, there is no confirmation yet.

 

SPY chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Long term SPY chart shows that SPY has bounced up from 200MA line and now has reached another high.
  2. 20MA has crossed up 50MA line and this is actually a long term BUY signal.
  3. Watch and see how it can break up the resistance line. Watch carefully how MACD and RSI line work out.

 

DJIA chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. DJIA is the only one index with very clear resistance line. However, don't under estimate the bull.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Nothing is stopping NASDAQ.

 

UUP chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. UUP up trend is confirmed.
  2. Carefully watch the relationship between UUP and DJIA. They are supposed to be inverse relationship, but not very clear.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

  1. I am running out of time.

 

Input:

 

  1. NA

 

GLD, SLV and UUP charts:

 

  1. I am running out of time!

 

Input:

 

  1. NA

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