Sunday, February 13, 2011

13th Feb 2011 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Long term (6 months)

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-- There is basically "nothing" that comes to stop the rally.

-- VXX has no sign of bottom yet.

-- Watch out for all time high NASDAQ.

-- SPY could be in progress of forming a head-n-shoulder if you look at it from helicopter point of view, but even that, it has a long way to go up before the right shoulder is formed.

-- UUP still has some time before it comes to form a multiple bottom.

-- Many sectors have poke through its uptrend line upward.

-- GLD still embarked on its downtrend while SLV could follow with a possible head-n-shoulder formation.

-- FXI is somehow at a critical junction. Friday's USA rally should help to rally FXI market.

-- Murbarak from Egypt stepping down.

-- UNG is the weird one. What a toxic gas.

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-- From now on, I think I will this column blank.

-- So far, I don’t think this column helps me. It does not do any harm, but…..

 

Next Week Economic Data:

 

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Input:

 

  1. A bit of important data coming out. Expect a bit of volatility in the middle of week.

 

VXX chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. The VXX chart looks really crazy, but you just have to accept it. You have no idea how low can it still go.

 

SPY chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. What a BULL market.

 

DJIA chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Very Bullish.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. NASDAQ is hitting an all time high. What is it going to bring us to?

 

UUP chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. UUP down trend is still intact. Watch out for multiple bottom formation.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Many sectors have gone beyond its uptrend line.

 

GLD, SLV and Natural Gas charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. GLD's rebound is not as hard as SLV.
  2. GLD has not overcome its Head-n-Shoulder downtrend yet.
  3. SLV looks like forming a Head-n-Shoulder pattern.
  4. SLV is one step slower than GLD, so if GLD had completed a Head-n-Shoulder, SLV should be taking the similar step.
  5. UNG -- What a TOXIC gas. Coming for a double bottom. Read this article from FORTUNE http://money.cnn.com/2011/02/11/news/economy/chesapeake-natural-gas-shakeout.fortune/index.htm

 

FXI (iShares FTSE / Xinhua China 25 Index Fund) chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. FXI looks like still in down trend.
  2. Is it in a Head-n-Shoulder pattern?

 

Baltic Dry Index chart:

 

-NA-

 

Input:

 

  1. -NA-

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