Monday, November 14, 2011

14th Nov 2011–My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Notes

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-- All3 indexes are still healthy.

-- Will Italy run into problem. Na… I don't think so. They have a Monti GOD!

-- The threat from UUP is still quite limited.

-- Watch out for VXX. Make sure it is not going to take out the resistance level of 76MA line.

-- All sectors are coming to their resistance trend line. Correction is expected.

-- Heavy data coming out. Expect volatility.

-- Copper is still weak but USO is pretty strong. Painting a confusing picture.

 

SPY (30 years monthly) chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. SPY is still healthy and strong.
  2. Still above its 20MA line.

 

Next Week Economic Data (1 week):

 

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Input:

 

  1. Quite a number of data coming out next week on Tuesday, Wed and Thursday.

 

VXX chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. VXX is struggling in between the 18MA and 76MA lines.
  2. MACD is now touching each other.

 

SPY chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. SPY still remain healthy. Long term chart facing resistance at 47MA line.

 

DJIA chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Daily chart of DJIA showing it has reach the short term resistance of the trend line. Expect it to retrace before it is able to advance again.
  2. Weekly chart shows that it is still healthy. It has taken the 12000 line again.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Daily chart shows that NASDAQ is still healthy.
  2. Weekly chart shows that it is facing resistance at 47MA line.

 

UUP chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. UUP is still struggling in between 18MA and 47MA lines.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

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Input:

 

  1. All sectors coming to the resistance of trend lines. Watch out for retracement or corrections.

 

Copper JJC  chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Daily Copper chart show weakness.

 

GLD and SLV charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. GLD and SLV are still strong and rallying.

 

 Petrol and Natural Gas charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Pretty big advancement of USO.
  2. Natural gas is another step closer to hell.

 

FXI (iShares FTSE / Xinhua China 25 Index Fund) chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. FXI is still healthy. Facing resistance from 123MA line.

 

Baltic Dry Index chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Slight rebound on Baltic index.

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