Sunday, February 12, 2012

12th Feb 2012 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Notes

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-- Volatility is expected. Many data coming out on Thursday and Friday.

-- All 3 indexes long term charts still look healthy.

-- Be careful of the VXX indicator.

-- Shipping Baltic starting to take a turn. Many shipping stocks have turn positive.

-- UUP is still under the long term down trend, which is good for the market.

-- GLD and SLV market is still waiting for more decision on where to head to next.

-- UNG bottoming process still in progress.

-- FXI still show weakness.

-- All sector ETFs still look healthy.

 

SPY (30 years monthly) chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Long term monthly SPY chart still look healthy.
  1. Last week retracement is considered as minor correction. Expect some more this coming week.

 

Next Week Economic Data (1 week):

 

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Input:

 

  1. Expect some volatility coming week.
  1. CPI, Job, Fed, PPI and FOMC all falling on Thursday and Friday.

 

VXX chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Look at the flatness of the 50MA line. Amazing !

 

SPY chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Weekly SPY chart still look healthy.

 

DJIA chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Long term monthly DJIA chart look healthy.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Long term monthly NASDAQ chart look healthy.

 

UUP chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. UUP is still in the long term down trend.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

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Input:

 

  1. All sectors look healthy.

 

Copper JJC  chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Copper is still under the control of long term 20MA line.

 

GLD and SLV charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. GLD and SLV are still behaving well under the trend line.
  2. Secondary indicators seem to indicate possible down trend in the future.

 

 Petrol and Natural Gas charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. USO still staying on the long term 20MA line.
  2. UNG bottoming process still has not ended. Not time for entry at all yet.

 

FXI (iShares FTSE / Xinhua China 25 Index Fund) chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. FXI is still weak. Not able to take out the 20MA resistance line.

 

 Baltic Dry Index chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. It is taking a interesting turn.
  1. Some shipping stocks have actually turned around.

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