Monday, January 10, 2011

10th Jan 2011 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Long term (6 months)

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-- Expecting a short term retreat.

-- All 3 indexes are hitting against strong resistance.

-- UUP has confirmed its up trend.

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-- Hey… nobody cares what is the real problem with the economy.      ;-)

 

Next Week Economic Data:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Expect volatility on Thursday and Friday.
  2. Earning season begin coming week.     ----- Hu .. La…… La

 

VXX chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Intraday chart show interesting gap down and the harami up from the lowest.
  2. Interesting up volume yesterday.
  3. Weekly chart still show a RED bar. Weekly volume is pretty high and MACD start to turn green.

 

SPY chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Intraday SPY shows range bound and looks like loosing strength. However, recently too many "GOOD" news on GDP and Employment.
  2. Market keep on selling at the beginning of night and then buy back later half of the night.
  3. Long term chart seems to be hitting at the resistance line 127.50
  4. 20MA and 200MA line at long term chart is touching each other, preparing for bullish cross.
  5. Pay close attention to how it behave at this resistance line.

 

DJIA chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Same like SPY, hitting against a strong resistance line.
  2. Watch how it turns (if there is any) carefully.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. NASDAQ is hitting at a pretty strong (I believe) resistance line. It is interesting to see how it reacts from here.
  2. Market is basically back to before crisis. It is just amazing that people think that everything has recover. Has it??
  3. All 3 indexes are against all time high.

 

UUP chart:

 

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Input:

 

  1. Looks like UUP up trend is confirmed.
  2. Is the inverse relationship of stock market and UUP going to hold? Watch its relationship carefully.
  3. This could be the time to SHORT GLD.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

-NA-

 

Input:

 

  1. Running out of time!!!

 

GLD, SLV, Natural Gas and UUP charts:

 

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Input:

 

  1. GLD and SLV looks like they are done!
  2. UNG posting good opportunity for LONG entry!

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