Showing posts with label BP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BP. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

3rd Nov 2010 – Drowning in the oil mud… HELP me!

oil Input:

 

  1. Net Profit drop but stock went up. This hurts

 

Buy $

Sell $

Sell Short $

Buy Back $

Stop Loss $

Profit / Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reason for Buy / Sell / Sell Short / Buy Back:

 

  1. -NA-

 

Lesson Learnt:

 

  1. I should have sell when the market opens where it gap to $41.25 which is also the top part of intraday trend line.
  2. I think I have to find a way to buy to recover for this stock before it even reach my stop loss.
  3. Will see how volatility tonight (FOMC) can help me or …. Destroy me.

 

Intraday Chart

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MarketWatch First Take

Nov. 2, 2010, 7:08 p.m. EDT

BP’s accidental stakeholders

Commentary: Gulf Coast needs profits to safeguard payouts

By MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — After being tarred and feathered in the marketplace, BP is clawing its way back. And the Gulf Coast couldn’t be happier.

On Tuesday, London-based BP PLC (NYSE:BP)  posted a net profit of $1.79 billion. That’s down 67% from a year ago, but it’s also a return to profit after a second-quarter loss of $17 billion. More importantly, it’s better than the analysts expected, and it offers further evidence that the company is getting the upper hand on the crisis that nearly sank it. See full story on BP's latest results.

Today’s upbeat report is in sharp contrast to those first dark weeks following the April 20 Deepwater Horizon blowout, when BP was staring at a very real threat of bankruptcy.

As the magnitude of the Gulf spill became clear and it became equally clear BP’s plan to cap the well was no more than a trial-and-error exercise, investors fled. Oil traders also fled, wary of doing business with a wounded giant. And the ratings agencies put BP on credit-watch negative, the first step toward costly downgrades.

About the time Washington jumped on board the public outrage, BP’s dividend was toast. On June 16, the company officially suspended dividend payments. A week later the stock’s stock bottomed out at $58.86 a share in New York, having had more than half of its pre-blowout market value wiped out.

Meanwhile, the cost of the spill continues to grow. BP is already on the hook to raise $20 billion to fund claims against it. Today, the company took an additional $7.7 billion charge against earnings to cover the cost of capping the well, a task that took nearly three months and cost way more than expected.

The failed ‘preventer’

Unedited video shows the failed blowout preventer that unleashed the Deepwater Horizon oil spill being lifted from the well this autumn.

That’s all in the past now. The legal wrangling over culpability for the spill is still in the early stages, and there are billions of dollars in damages to be doled out. But only if BP stays healthy. In the space of six months, BP has gone from demon to cash cow.

Where does this leave investors? When does BP get a clean bill of health? Not until it restores its dividend. The company has said that could happen in February, when it announces its 2010 full-year results.

They might still be cleaning tarballs off the beaches down south, but BP’s fall from grace does not preclude financial redemption. Just ask any of its newfound stakeholders on the Gulf Coast.

 

Pasted from <http://www.marketwatch.com/story/story/print?guid=19459E52-E6BB-11DF-ABF6-002128040CF6>

 

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Historical Chart

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Saturday, October 30, 2010

30th Oct 2010 – Weekly Position Review

BP (SHORT)

Input:

 

  1. Short term chart shows that position might be in danger.
  2. Above 20MA and 50MA line in intraday chart is not good for me as a "SHORTER".
  3. Long term chart shows that it is still within the down trend line and also the 20MA line.

 

Buy $

Sell $

Sell Short $

Buy Back $

Stop Loss $

Profit / Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reason for Buy / Sell / Sell Short / Buy Back:

 

  1. -NA-

 

Lesson Learnt:

 

  1. There are still a lot to learn on how to short at the best optimum price.

 

Intraday Chart

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Historical Chart

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JSDA (LONG)

Input:

 

  1. Everything seems to be on track.
  2. Currently it retraced back to the intraday 20MA line which is what I expected as healthy for more rally next week.
  3. Daily chart shows that it has resistance at the trend line at $1.30.
  4. Daily chart shows that it has support at 20MA and 100MA line.
  5. Weekly chart shows that it has a good mental support at $1.10.

 

Buy $

Sell $

Sell Short $

Buy Back $

Stop Loss $

Profit / Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reason for Buy / Sell / Sell Short / Buy Back:

 

  1. -NA-

 

Lesson Learnt:

 

  1. My purchase point can be polished to be better.

 

Intraday Chart

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Historical Chart

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AONE (LONG)

Input:

 

  1. Weekly chart MACD looks good.
  2. Intraday pull back shows good extra loading point, if got $$$.
  3. Intraday chart shows price is currently supported by 20MA and 50MA line and the uptrend line.
  4. Another break above $10.00 will indicate strong long term rally.

 

Buy $

Sell $

Sell Short $

Buy Back $

Stop Loss $

Profit / Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reason for Buy / Sell / Sell Short / Buy Back:

 

  1. -NA-

 

Lesson Learnt:

 

  1. Again, improvement needed for entry timing.

 

 

Intraday Chart

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Historical Chart

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Saturday, October 23, 2010

22nd Oct 2010 – Be Green, Save Earth, SHORT BP!

Input:

 

  1. -NA-

 

Buy $

Sell $

Sell Short $

Buy Back $

Stop Loss $

Profit / Losses

 

 

40.38

 

42.47

 

 

temp Reason for Buy / Sell / Sell Short / Buy Back:

 

  1. Intraday chart shows that it has penetrated the $40.50 support line again.
  2. Intraday chart also shows that 20MA is bearish crossing the 50MA line again.
  3. Intraday chart also shows that price is been block by the 20MA line.
  4. Historical daily chart shows that it has break down from the trend line and also below the 20MA line. This can be a big resistance for it to climb back up.
  5. This is among the 3rd time that it came up to the $42.00 price line and decline back.
  6. The stop loss point is still manageable within my appetite.

 

Lesson Learnt:

 

  1. I should be more patient in terms of setting the sell short price limit. $40.50 should be the setting price because this is the ceiling that it "should" hit again.
  2. Don't make the same mistake again like in AZO.

 

 

Intraday Chart

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Historical Chart

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