Saturday, October 30, 2010

30th Oct 2010 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Long term (6 months)

clip_image001

-- We could be at a turning point. VXX is posing some threat.

-- MACD in daily charts of SPY and DJIA has started to turn negative.

-- The QE2 and interest rate announcement will be the key.

-- Get ready to turn to BEAR when it happens.

clip_image002

-- Will not call off this BEAR before DJIA broke 11,200 point for sure

 

Next Week Economic Data:

 

clip_image003

 

VXX chart:

 

clip_image004

 

clip_image005

 

Input:

  1. Be careful, VXX could be bottom up. It should all depend on the FOMC day on Wednesday.

 

SPY chart:

 

clip_image006

 

clip_image007

 

clip_image008

Input:

  1. Daily 6 month chart shows that SPY is still intact, but MACD is starting to show bearish sentiment.
  2. Some kind of correction might start. Long term chart shows that price are retreating from the 200MA line.

 

DJIA chart:

 

clip_image009

 

clip_image010

 

clip_image011

Input:

  1. Same as SPY.
  2. 11K point is a very important support point at 200MA line.
  3. Daily 6 month chart MACD start to turn bearish

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

clip_image012

 

clip_image013

 

clip_image014

 

Input:

  1. NASDAQ is still very strong and it still has room to grow.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

clip_image015

 

Input:

  1. XLK is still very bullish. That explain why NASDAQ still not stopping.

 

GLD, SLV and UUP charts:

 

clip_image016

 

Input:

  1. UNG is quite interesting, looks like already bottom.
  2. UUP is fluctuating quite heavily at bottom. Could be in progress of deciding bottom.
  3. USO continue to be block by the trendline.

No comments:

Post a Comment