Monday, February 6, 2012

6th Feb 2012 – My Analysis

BULL or BEAR ??

 

Short term (1 week)

Notes

clip_image001

-- All 3 indexes are all healthy either in weekly or monthly chart.

-- However, VXX is coming to a possible double bottom. As a result, pay close attention to the turning point.

-- FXI is coming to resistance line.

-- Shipment Baltic is going to straight to hell.

-- All sectors are reaching top trend lines, retracement will not be a surprise.

-- UUP is still in the long tern down trend which is good for the market.

 

SPY (30 years monthly) chart:

 

clip_image002

 

Input:

 

  1. Very strong bull market! The value has successfully overtook the trend line resistance.

 

Next Week Economic Data (1 week):

 

clip_image003

 

Input:

 

  1. Not much data in coming week.  Should not be too volatile.
  1. Ben would like to speak for two times!

 

VXX chart:

 

clip_image004

 

Input:

 

  1. VXX is at a dangerously low level. A possibility of double bottom could be there.

 

SPY chart:

 

clip_image005

 

Input:

 

  1. Weekly chart shows that SPY index is still very healthy.

 

DJIA chart:

 

clip_image006

 

clip_image007

Input:

 

  1. Monthly DJIA chart shows that it has reach the resistance trend line. Retracement is expected.
  1. Weekly DJIA chart is very healthy.

 

NASDAQ chart:

 

clip_image008

 

clip_image009

 

Input:

 

  1. Monthly and weekly chart of NASDAQ shows a lot of strength and continuation of rally.

 

UUP chart:

 

clip_image010

 

Input:

 

  1. UUP is still stuck in the long term down trend which is good for stock market.

 

Sector Analysis:

 

clip_image011

 

Input:

 

  1. Most sectors are at the top range. A retracement will not be surprise.

 

Copper JJC  chart:

 

clip_image012

 

Input:

 

  1. Long term JJC approaching the 20MA line.
  1. Still look strong going forward which is good for the market.

 

GLD and SLV charts:

 

clip_image013

 

clip_image014

Input:

 

  1. GLD and SLV seems to reach the long term resistance trend line.
  1. Retracement is expected.

 

 Petrol and Natural Gas charts:

 

-NA-

 

Input:

 

  1.  

 

FXI (iShares FTSE / Xinhua China 25 Index Fund) chart:

 

clip_image015

 

Input:

 

  1. FXI is facing resistance from its long term 20MA line.
  2. Expect a retracement.

 

Baltic Dry Index chart:

 

clip_image016

 

Input:

 

  1. Oh! My God! No bottom insight yet.

No comments:

Post a Comment